Water Crisis ( Wars Ahead )
Water crisis
Water crisis is a situation where the
available potable, unpolluted water within a region is less than that region's
demand
Agricultural crisis
Although food security has been
significantly increased in the past thirty years, water withdrawals for
irrigation represent 66 % of the total withdrawals and up to 90 % in arid
regions, the other 34 % being used by domestic households (10 %), industry (20
%), or evaporated from reservoirs (4 %).
As the per capita use increases due to
changes in lifestyle and as population increases as well, the proportion of
water for human use is increasing. This, coupled with spatial and temporal
variations in water availability, means that the water to produce food for
human consumption, industrial processes and all the other uses is becoming
scarce.
Environmental crisis
It is all the more critical that increased
water use by humans does not only reduce the amount of water available for
industrial and agricultural development but has a profound effect on aquatic
ecosystems and their dependent species. Environmental balances are disturbed
and cannot play their regulating role anymore.
An increase in tensions
As the resource is becoming scarce,
tensions among different users may intensify, both at the national and
international level. Over 260 river basins are shared by two or more countries.
In the absence of strong institutions and agreements, changes within a basin
can lead to transboundary tensions. When major projects proceed without
regional collaboration, they can become a point of conflicts, heightening
regional instability. The Parana La Plata, the Aral Sea, the Jordan and the
Danube may serve as examples. Due to the pressure on the Aral Sea, half of its
superficy has disappeared, representing 2/3 of its volume. 36 000 km2 of marin
grounds are now recovered by salt.
Water stress results from an imbalance
between water use and water resources. The water stress indicator in this map
measures the proportion of water withdrawal with respect to total renewable
resources. It is a criticality ratio, which implies that water stress depends
on the variability of resources. Water stress causes deterioration of fresh
water resources in terms of quantity (aquifer over-exploitation, dry rivers,
etc.) and quality (eutrophication, organic matter pollution, saline intrusion,
etc.) The value of this criticality ratio that indicates high water stress is
based on expert judgment and experience (Alcamo and others, 1999). It ranges
between 20 % for basins with highly variable runoff and 60 % for temperate zone
basins. In this map, we take an overall value of 40 % to indicate high water
stress. We see that the situation is heterogeneous over the world.
The concept of Water Stress
Already there is more waste water generated
and dispersed today than at any other time in the history of our planet: more
than one out of six people lack access to safe drinking water, namely 1.1
billion people, and more than two out of six lack adequate sanitation, namely
2.6 billion people (Estimation for 2002, by the WHO/UNICEF JMP, 2004). 3900
children die every day from water borne diseases (WHO 2004). One must know that
these figures represent only people with very poor conditions. In reality,
these figures should be much higher.
While the world's population tripled in the
20th century, the use of renewable water resources has grown six-fold. Within
the next fifty years, the world population will increase by another 40 to 50 %.
This population growth - coupled with industrialization and urbanization - will
result in an increasing demand for water and will have serious consequences on
the environment
And in my point of view there will be a war
for that matter.